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Runner Status
Kalshi Live One-Off Sports (Today UTC)
Loading live sports markets...
Data & Refresh
60s
Arbitrage Detection
0.020
0.35
0.40
Risk Management
10%
50%
Appearance
Categories
LMSR Bot — Core
100
0.40
0.030
0.25
25%
LMSR Bot — Trading
LMSR Bot — Allocation
LMSR Bot — Momentum Filter
LMSR Bot — Costs & Buffers
LMSR Bot — Execution
Actions
Run Controls
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Autotune + Scheduler
Scheduler not loaded.
Actions
Optimizer Lifecycle
Loading optimizer status...
| Bot | Candidate | Version | Applied | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No active strategy rows. | ||||
| Time | Bot | Decision | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| No promotion history yet. | |||
| Time | Bot | Candidate | Reason | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No active blacklist entries. | ||||
Nautilus Backtests Live
Loading live backtest telemetry...
| Run | Status | Venue | Ingestion | Stage | Progress | Events | Fills | PnL | Started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No backtest runs yet. | |||||||||
Select a run to view stage events.
Live Jobs
| ID | Name | Type | Status | Progress | Step | Elapsed | ETA | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No tuning jobs yet. | ||||||||
Selected Tuning Job Analytics
Selected Job
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Variants
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Avg PnL Delta
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Avg Trades/hr
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Realtime Job Events
Select a job to stream events.
Stored Rollups
| Job | Variant | Score | Weighted PnL | Balance | Trades | Trades/hr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No stored rollups yet. | ||||||
Tuning Charts
Monte Carlo Controls
LMSR
Market Edge
Monte Carlo Jobs
| ID | Name | Type | Status | Progress | Step | Elapsed | ETA | Run | Actions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Monte Carlo jobs yet. | |||||||||
Monte Carlo Realtime Events
Select a Monte Carlo job to stream events.
Selected Monte Carlo Run Charts
Selected Job
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Run Type
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Mean PnL
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P50 Return
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Monte Carlo Top Results
| Job | Type | Objective | Mean PnL | P50 Return | P95 Return | Prob Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Monte Carlo results yet. | ||||||
Research + Execution Console
LMSR Bot
Tracked markets, execution diagnostics, paper performance, and operator controls organized as a single desk.
Tracked Markets
| Market | Duration | Time Left | CLOB Price | LMSR Price | Edge (raw/net) | Signal | Kelly % | Bet ($) | Blocked Reason | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecting to LMSR bot... | ||||||||||
Layer 1: Research Agent Scores
SpreadDetector | LatencyArb | LiquidityScanner → Bayesian Fusion
| Market | Spread Score | Latency Score | Liquidity Score | Fused Confidence | CEX Correlation | Last Update |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading agent scores... | ||||||
Execution Diagnostics
Gate blockers and net-edge distribution
| Top Blocked Reason | Count |
|---|---|
| Loading diagnostics... | |
| |Net Edge| Bucket | Markets | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Loading diagnostics... | ||
Balance & Cumulative P&L
Raw vs Net Edge (Abs) + Avg Hurdle
Open Positions
| # | Market | Dir | Entry | Mark | Bet ($) | U-P&L ($) | U-Return % | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions. | ||||||||
Trade History (paper)
| # | Market | Dir | Entry | Exit | Bet ($) | P&L ($) | Return % | Status | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades yet. | |||||||||
* Open-trade P&L is live mark-to-market (unrealised).
Bot Control
LMSR bot settings have been moved to the Settings tab.
Live Capital + Dynamic Rates
Capital: --
Rates: --
Rate Sync: --
Process:
not managed
How it works
The LMSR engine tracks a damped fair-value of each 5m/15m Polymarket market. At each poll it infers the net order-flow implied by the CLOB price move and applies only Damping × that volume to the LMSR model. This creates a smoothed baseline that lags behind sudden price spikes.
When |CLOB − LMSR| ≥ Min Edge
a signal is raised. BUY_YES when the market
dipped below fair value; SELL_YES (buy NO) when it spiked above.
Kelly criterion sizes the bet, scaled by √(t_remaining/t_total)
to reduce exposure near resolution.
Live Autonomous Strategy Lab
Auto Research (Your Runtime)
This feed shows your own strategy search runs in real time. Every kept profitable strategy is persisted, scored, and available for inspection directly from this dashboard.
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Current Run
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Profitable Strategies
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Successful Dry Runs
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Dry-Run Trader State
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Dry-Run Open Trades
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Dry-Run Total Trades
25
Dry Run Target
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Total Runs
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Best Score
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Avg Score
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Avg Win Rate
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Avg Profit Factor
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Failed Dry Runs
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Error Runs (Session)
Data Integrity
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Last Bars Loaded
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Symbols
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Last Backtest Runtime
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Source: live runtime stream
Live Event Stream
--Recent Runs
Real runtime backtests| Run | Status | Mutation | Score | Sharpe | Return | Max DD | Trades | Win % | Profit Factor | FT Gate | FT Note | Test Score | Test Return | Test Gate | Dry Run Push | Dry Run At | Bars | Runtime | Kept | Finished |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No runs yet. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Stored Strategies
Persisted profitable keeps| Run | Score | Sharpe | Return | Max DD | Trades | Win % | Profit Factor | Saved At | File |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No stored strategies yet. | |||||||||
Dry-Run Command Center
Live Freqtrade dry-run stream, strategy state, and trading activity.
Freqtrade
Dry Run
Live Stream
Checking...
Open Fullscreen
Runtime State
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Strategy
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Open Trades
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Total Trades
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